Vote Share Simulator
Simulation OnlyEnter national vote share % for each alliance. The model runs the full 234-constituency simulation at those inputs and shows projected seats — compared against our locked model.
Enter Vote Shares
%
%
%
Others (auto)3.0%
Total100.0%
Locked Model Reference
SPA 39.5%NDA 39%TVK 18.5%
Simulated Seat Outcome
Hung Assembly
Majority = 118 seats
89
114
31
SPA (DMK+)
89
simulated
0
89
locked
NDA (AIADMK+)
114
simulated
0
114
locked
TVK
31
simulated
0
31
locked
Implied anti-incumbency score6/10
Full Comparison
| Alliance | Input Vote % | Simulated Seats | Locked Model | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPA (DMK+) | 39.5% | 89 | 89 | 0 |
| NDA (AIADMK+) | 39.0% | 114 | 114 | 0 |
| TVK | 18.5% | 31 | 31 | 0 |
| Others | 3.0% | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 100.0% | 234 | 234 | — |
How this works: Your vote share inputs are used to back-solve an implied anti-incumbency score, which is then fed into the full 234-constituency model. Seat outcomes depend on geographic concentration of votes — a party with 36% nationally may win more or fewer seats depending on where those votes are distributed. The locked model (SPA 89, NDA 114, TVK 31) remains unchanged and is shown here for reference only.