TN 2026 Election Analytics

Election Day Results

Model predictions vs actual outcomes — Tamil Nadu Assembly Election 2026

Polling: Apr 23, 2026
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Overall Accuracy
0/0 correct · 0 pending
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SPA Accuracy
0/0 seats
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NDA Accuracy
0/0 seats
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TVK Accuracy
0/0 seats
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Avg Margin Error
votes off per seat
This page will be activated on April 23, 2026 (polling day).
Turnout data can be entered from 5 PM onwards as ECI releases constituency-wise figures.
Counting day results entry will be enabled from May 2, 2026 (estimated).
Admins can pre-populate model predictions below for reference.
0 / 234 turnouts entered
#ConstituencyModel PredictedModel TurnoutActual Turnout %Delta
1GummidipoondiSPASPA76.1%——
2PonneriSPASPA76.1%——
3TiruttaniSPASPA76.1%——
4ThiruvallurTVKTVK80.3%——
5PoonamalleeSPASPA76.1%——
6AvadiSPASPA76.1%——
7MaduravoyalSPASPA76.1%——
8AmbatturSPASPA76.1%——
9MadavaramSPASPA76.1%——
10ThiruvottiyurSPASPA78.8%——
11Dr. Radhakrishnan NagarSPASPA78.8%——
12PeramburSPASPA78.8%——
13KolathurSPASPA78.8%——
14VillivakkamSPASPA78.8%——
15Thiru-Vi-Ka-NagarSPASPA78.8%——
16EgmoreSPASPA78.8%——
17RoyapuramSPASPA78.8%——
18HarbourSPASPA78.8%——
19Chepauk-ThiruvallikeniSPASPA78.8%——
20Thousand LightsSPASPA78.8%——
21Anna NagarSPASPA78.8%——
22VirugampakkamSPASPA78.8%——
23SaidapetSPASPA78.8%——
24ThiyagarayanagarSPASPA78.8%——
25MylaporeNDANDA78.8%——
26VelacherySPASPA78.8%——
27SholinganallurSPASPA78.8%——
28AlandurSPASPA76.1%——
29SriperumbudurSPASPA76.1%——
30PallavaramSPASPA76.1%——
31TambaramSPASPA76.1%——
32ChengalpattuSPASPA76.1%——
33ThiruporurSPASPA76.1%——
34CheyyurSPASPA76.1%——
35MadurantakamSPASPA76.1%——
36UthiramerurSPASPA76.1%——
37KancheepuramSPASPA76.1%——
38ArakkonamSPASPA76.1%——
39SholingurSPASPA76.1%——
40KatpadiSPASPA78.8%——
41RanipetSPASPA76.1%——
42ArcotSPASPA76.1%——
43VelloreSPASPA78.8%——
44AnaikattuSPASPA78.8%——
45KilvaithinankuppamSPASPA78.8%——
46GudiyathamNDANDA78.8%——
47VaniyambadiSPASPA76.1%——
48AmburSPASPA76.1%——
49JolarpetToss-upToss-up76.1%——
50TiruppatturSPASPA76.1%——
51UthangaraiNDANDA76.1%——
52BargurNDANDA76.1%——
53KrishnagiriNDANDA76.1%——
54VeppanahalliNDANDA76.1%——
55HosurNDANDA76.1%——
56ThalliSPASPA76.1%——
57PalacodeNDANDA76.1%——
58PennagaramNDANDA76.1%——
59DharmapuriToss-upToss-up76.1%——
60PappireddippattiToss-upToss-up76.1%——
61HarurToss-upToss-up76.1%——
62ChengamToss-upToss-up76.1%——
63TiruvannamalaiSPASPA76.1%——
64KilpennathurSPASPA76.1%——
65KalasapakkamSPASPA76.1%——
66PolurSPASPA76.1%——
67AraniSPASPA76.1%——
68CheyyarSPASPA76.1%——
69VandavasiSPASPA76.1%——
70GingeeSPASPA76.1%——
71MailamSPASPA76.1%——
72TindivanamSPASPA76.1%——
73VanurSPASPA76.1%——
74VillupuramSPASPA76.1%——
75VikravandiSPASPA76.1%——
76TirukkoyilurSPASPA76.1%——
77UlundurpettaiToss-upToss-up76.1%——
78RishivandiyamToss-upToss-up76.1%——
79SankarapuramToss-upToss-up76.1%——
80KallakurichiToss-upToss-up76.1%——
81GangavalliSPASPA78.8%——
82AtturSPASPA78.8%——
83YercaudSPASPA78.8%——
84OmalurNDANDA78.8%——
85MetturSPASPA78.8%——
86EdappadiNDANDA78.8%——
87SankariNDANDA78.8%——
88Salem (West)NDANDA78.8%——
89Salem (North)NDANDA78.8%——
90Salem (South)NDANDA78.8%——
91VeerapandiNDANDA78.8%——
92RasipuramNDANDA76.1%——
93SenthamangalamSPASPA76.1%——
94NamakkalNDANDA76.1%——
95Paramathi VelurNDANDA76.1%——
96TiruchengoduSPASPA76.1%——
97KumarapalayamNDANDA78.8%——
98Erode (East)NDANDA78.8%——
99Erode (West)NDANDA78.8%——
100ModakkurichiNDANDA78.8%——
101DharapuramNDANDA78.8%——
102KangayamNDANDA78.8%——
103PerunduraiNDANDA78.8%——
104BhavaniNDANDA78.8%——
105AnthiyurNDANDA78.8%——
106GobichettipalayamNDANDA78.8%——
107BhavanisagarNDANDA76.1%——
108UdhagamandalamSPASPA76.1%——
109GudalurSPASPA76.1%——
110CoonoorSPASPA76.1%——
111MettupalayamSPASPA78.8%——
112AvanashiSPASPA78.8%——
113Tiruppur (North)SPASPA78.8%——
114Tiruppur (South)SPASPA78.8%——
115PalladamSPASPA78.8%——
116SulurNDANDA78.8%——
117KavundampalayamNDANDA78.8%——
118Coimbatore (North)NDANDA78.8%——
119ThondamuthurTVKTVK80.3%——
120Coimbatore (South)NDANDA78.8%——
121SinganallurNDANDA78.8%——
122KinathukadavuNDANDA78.8%——
123PollachiNDANDA78.8%——
124ValparaiSPASPA78.8%——
125UdumalaipettaiSPASPA78.8%——
126MadathukulamNDANDA78.8%——
127PalaniNDANDA76.1%——
128OddanchatramNDANDA76.1%——
129AthoorNDANDA76.1%——
130NilakottaiNDANDA76.1%——
131NathamNDANDA76.1%——
132DindigulNDANDA76.1%——
133VedasandurNDANDA76.1%——
134AravakurichiNDANDA76.1%——
135KarurNDANDA76.1%——
136KrishnarayapuramNDANDA76.1%——
137KulithalaiNDANDA76.1%——
138ManapaaraiSPASPA78.8%——
139SrirangamSPASPA78.8%——
140Tiruchirappalli (West)NDANDA78.8%——
141Tiruchirappalli (East)NDANDA78.8%——
142ThiruverumburNDANDA78.8%——
143LalgudiNDANDA78.8%——
144ManachanallurNDANDA78.8%——
145MusiriNDANDA78.8%——
146ThuraiyurNDANDA78.8%——
147PerambalurSPASPA76.1%——
148KunnamSPASPA76.1%——
149AriyalurSPASPA76.1%——
150JayankondamSPASPA76.1%——
151TittakudiSPASPA76.1%——
152VirudhachalamSPASPA76.1%——
153NeyveliSPASPA76.1%——
154PanrutiSPASPA76.1%——
155CuddaloreSPASPA76.1%——
156KurinjipadiSPASPA76.1%——
157BhuvanagiriSPASPA76.1%——
158ChidambaramSPASPA76.1%——
159KattumannarkoilSPASPA76.1%——
160SirkazhiSPASPA76.1%——
161MayiladuthuraiSPASPA76.1%——
162PoompuharSPASPA76.1%——
163NagapattinamSPASPA76.1%——
164KilvelurSPASPA76.1%——
165VedaranyamSPASPA76.1%——
166ThiruthuraipoondiSPASPA76.1%——
167MannargudiSPASPA76.1%——
168ThiruvarurSPASPA76.1%——
169NannilamSPASPA76.1%——
170ThiruvidaimarudurSPASPA76.1%——
171KumbakonamSPASPA76.1%——
172PapanasamSPASPA76.1%——
173ThiruvaiyaruSPASPA76.1%——
174ThanjavurSPASPA76.1%——
175OrathanaduSPASPA76.1%——
176PattukkottaiSPASPA76.1%——
177PeravuraniSPASPA76.1%——
178GandarvakottaiSPASPA76.1%——
179ViralimalaiSPASPA76.1%——
180PudukkottaiSPASPA76.1%——
181ThirumayamSPASPA76.1%——
182AlangudiSPASPA76.1%——
183AranthangiSPASPA76.1%——
184KaraikudiSPASPA76.1%——
185TiruppatturSPASPA76.1%——
186SivagangaNDANDA76.1%——
187ManamaduraiNDANDA76.1%——
188MelurNDANDA78.8%——
189Madurai EastNDANDA78.8%——
190SholavandanNDANDA78.8%——
191Madurai NorthNDANDA78.8%——
192Madurai SouthNDANDA78.8%——
193Madurai CentralNDANDA78.8%——
194Madurai WestNDANDA78.8%——
195ThiruparankundramNDANDA78.8%——
196ThirumangalamSPASPA78.8%——
197UsilampattiNDANDA76.1%——
198AndipattiNDANDA76.1%——
199PeriyakulamNDANDA76.1%——
200BodinayakanurNDANDA76.1%——
201CumbumNDANDA76.1%——
202RajapalayamNDANDA76.1%——
203SrivilliputhurNDANDA76.1%——
204SatturNDANDA76.1%——
205SivakasiNDANDA76.1%——
206VirudhunagarNDANDA76.1%——
207AruppukkottaiNDANDA76.1%——
208TiruchuliNDANDA76.1%——
209ParamakudiNDANDA76.1%——
210TiruvadanaiNDANDA76.1%——
211RamanathapuramNDANDA76.1%——
212MudhukulathurNDANDA76.1%——
213VilathikulamSPASPA76.1%——
214ThoothukkudiSPASPA76.1%——
215TiruchendurSPASPA76.1%——
216SrivaikuntamSPASPA76.1%——
217OttapidaramSPASPA76.1%——
218KovilpattiNDANDA76.1%——
219SankarankovilNDANDA76.1%——
220VasudevanallurNDANDA76.1%——
221KadayanallurNDANDA76.1%——
222TenkasiNDANDA76.1%——
223AlangulamNDANDA76.1%——
224TirunelveliNDANDA76.1%——
225AmbasamudramNDANDA76.1%——
226PalayamkottaiNDANDA76.1%——
227NanguneriNDANDA76.1%——
228RadhapuramNDANDA76.1%——
229KanniyakumariNDANDA76.1%——
230NagercoilSPASPA76.1%——
231ColachalSPASPA76.1%——
232PadmanabhapuramSPASPA76.1%——
233VilavancodeSPASPA76.1%——
234KilliyoorSPASPA76.1%——